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Red98
152234.0
1025719.9
313646.5
Blue99
159934.4
900330.2
409936.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11010980901001201301401509899

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+3
Endgame+1
Fouls+1
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave9
5Coral scored#4
23Coral points21
26Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +1
12Coral scored#10
42Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
56Total teleop55
Reef
7L4#4
4L3#5
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#18
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points0
98Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.50.1
45.945.8
Auto11.3
Teleop26.9
End8.3
red by 10.1
4099
#24
36.40.1
36.035.9
Auto7.2
Teleop27.7
End1.5
Second
1522
#18
34.00.1
33.433.3
Auto5.8
Teleop26.9
End1.4
blue by 0.4
34.40.1
34.033.9
Auto4.5
Teleop20.2
End9.7
Third
19.90.1
19.319.3
Auto5.3
Teleop12.4
End2.2
blue by 10.3
9003
#15
30.20.1
29.829.7
Auto4.8
Teleop24.0
End1.4