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Red110
583024.3
54024.6
191518.7
Blue120
126237.4
393931.6
53928.3
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6710950100150110120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+26
Endgame+10
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave3
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points27
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +5
15Coral scored#16
53Coral points56
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
12Processor points18
20Net points16
32Algae points34
85Total teleop90
Reef
8L4#8
4L3#5
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
24Game pieces#28
BargeRed +16
16Cage & park0
16Total endgame0
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points0
110Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
540
#23
24.60.8
23.924.6
Auto1.3
Teleop22.7
End0.6
blue by 12.8
37.40.3
36.736.9
Auto7.6
Teleop28.2
End1.6
Second
5830
#12
24.30.8
23.624.3
Auto4.5
Teleop17.1
End2.7
blue by 7.3
3939
#21
31.60.3
30.931.1
Auto4.4
Teleop27.4
End-0.2
Third
1915
#13
18.70.8
18.018.7
Auto3.7
Teleop11.2
End3.9
blue by 9.6
539
#7
28.30.3
27.627.9
Auto6.7
Teleop20.3
End1.4