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Red67
40133.3
202828.3
572422.3
Blue102
152234.0
1025719.9
313646.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions891092040608010012014016067102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+31
Endgame+33
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points13
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +28
10Coral scored#18
37Coral points65
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
51Total teleop79
Reef
4L4#9
3L3#3
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
15Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +2
0Cage & park2
0Total endgame2
Penalties & totalBlue +35
0Foul points2
67Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
401
#17
33.30.4
33.733.3
Auto10.7
Teleop18.8
End3.9
blue by 13.2
46.50.0
45.845.9
Auto11.3
Teleop26.9
End8.3
Second
2028
#20
28.30.4
28.728.3
Auto7.2
Teleop20.0
End1.1
blue by 5.7
1522
#18
34.00.0
33.333.4
Auto5.8
Teleop26.9
End1.4
Third
5724
#11
22.30.4
22.722.3
Auto3.6
Teleop17.2
End1.5
red by 2.4
19.90.0
19.319.3
Auto5.3
Teleop12.4
End2.2