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Red157
42275.7
336120.0
162959.2
Blue111
680236.7
61928.2
580442.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16610550150200250157111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+46Teleop
+46Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave0
6Coral scored#6
31Coral points30
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +39
20Coral scored#10
72Coral points37
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
12Processor points12
20Net points16
32Algae points28
104Total teleop65
Reef
9L4#6
7L3#3
6L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +46
0Foul points0
157Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#1
75.70.1
74.174.2
Auto16.7
Teleop48.0
End10.9
red by 33.2
5804
#10
42.50.2
40.841.0
Auto9.6
Teleop28.0
End4.9
Second
59.20.1
57.657.7
Auto20.2
Teleop37.0
End2.0
red by 22.4
36.70.2
35.135.3
Auto5.5
Teleop24.4
End6.9
Third
3361
#16
20.00.1
19.920.0
Auto3.0
Teleop15.6
End1.4
blue by 8.2
619
#26
28.20.2
26.626.8
Auto8.4
Teleop16.5
End3.3