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Red25
456133.4
99973.1
99700.4
Blue31
40131.9
999511.9
99714.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62900501502002531

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+14
Endgame+6
Fouls+6
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
3Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +8
2Coral scored#3
6Coral points12
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
0Processor points6
4Net points0
4Algae points6
10Total teleop18
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#1
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#5
BargeRed +8
12Cage & park4
12Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points0
25Total score31

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.43.6
33.436.9
Auto5.6
Teleop19.8
End7.6
red by 1.5
401
#3
31.915.7
31.947.6
Auto9.4
Teleop18.6
End3.6
Second
9997
#26
3.14.8
14.19.3
Auto0.1
Teleop2.6
End0.6
blue by 8.8
11.93.2
11.98.7
Auto2.0
Teleop9.3
End0.9
Third
0.44.8
14.19.3
Auto-3.0
Teleop4.1
End-0.2
blue by 3.9
9971
#10
4.35.3
14.18.7
Auto-1.5
Teleop6.7
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsMissed59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed49%Barge oddsMissed