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Red7
146627.1
99946.5
99723.1
Blue35
99996.4
108626.7
99738.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7475204060100120735

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+28
Endgame+28
Fouls+28
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
3Total auto0
TeleoperatedBlue +31
0Coral scored#8
0Coral points27
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
0Processor points0
0Net points4
0Algae points4
0Total teleop31
Reef
1L4#3
0L3#2
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#2
1Game pieces#9
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points0
7Total score35

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1466
#14
27.13.6
27.130.7
Auto7.6
Teleop17.3
End1.9
red by 0.5
1086
#17
26.718.7
26.745.4
Auto7.0
Teleop17.5
End2.0
Second
9994
#20
6.51.1
6.57.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop4.8
End2.4
blue by 1.5
8.14.5
13.89.3
Auto0.6
Teleop7.2
End0.8
Third
9972
#21
3.16.1
13.87.7
Auto0.2
Teleop3.6
End-0.0
blue by 3.3
9999
#15
6.44.5
13.89.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop6.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsMissed25%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed