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Red15
580433.7
99965.6
99743.1
Blue39
325814.3
97743.3
99751.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93790501502001539

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+32
Endgame+22
Fouls+24
AutonomousBlue +17
3Leave9
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points11
3Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +15
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points11
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
0Processor points0
0Net points4
0Algae points4
0Total teleop15
Reef
0L4#2
0L3#1
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
0Game pieces#6
BargeRed +10
12Cage & park2
12Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
0Foul points2
15Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5804
#18
33.723.9
33.757.7
Auto5.3
Teleop21.8
End6.4
blue by 9.6
977
#4
43.30.5
43.343.8
Auto8.6
Teleop32.1
End2.5
Second
9996
#16
5.60.2
5.65.4
Auto0.2
Teleop5.3
End0.4
blue by 8.7
3258
#23
14.31.7
14.316.0
Auto2.4
Teleop10.9
End0.7
Third
9974
#25
3.18.4
13.85.4
Auto0.6
Teleop2.2
End0.6
red by 1.4
9975
#11
1.74.7
13.89.1
Auto0.5
Teleop2.2
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsMissed51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsMissed