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Red29
580433.7
108626.7
99780.4
Blue69
1025716.6
456133.4
99700.4
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1124501001502002969

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+32
Endgame+32
Fouls+40
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +32
3Coral scored#7
9Coral points25
0Processor algae#2
0Net algae#1
0Processor points12
0Net points4
0Algae points16
9Total teleop41
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#10
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points8
29Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5804
#18
33.74.6
51.847.2
Auto5.3
Teleop21.8
End6.4
red by 0.4
33.40.7
35.135.8
Auto5.6
Teleop19.8
End7.6
Second
1086
#17
26.74.6
39.134.5
Auto7.0
Teleop17.5
End2.0
red by 10.0
16.60.7
15.616.3
Auto4.1
Teleop11.2
End1.1
Third
9978
#24
0.47.7
7.3-0.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop1.1
End0.2
red by 0.1
0.41.1
0.21.3
Auto-3.0
Teleop4.1
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned59%Barge oddsEarned