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Red56
97743.3
99946.5
99714.3
Blue94
40131.9
126232.6
99723.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64890501001505694

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+34
Endgame+32
Fouls+38
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave0
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points23
6Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +17
9Coral scored#15
32Coral points53
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
46Total teleop63
Reef
3L4#8
2L3#6
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
12Game pieces#22
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
0Foul points6
56Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
977
#4
43.30.4
41.742.1
Auto8.6
Teleop32.1
End2.5
red by 10.7
32.60.8
32.733.5
Auto3.5
Teleop28.3
End0.7
Second
9994
#20
6.50.6
6.67.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop4.8
End2.4
blue by 25.3
401
#3
31.90.8
42.142.9
Auto9.4
Teleop18.6
End3.6
Third
9971
#10
4.30.6
2.02.6
Auto-1.5
Teleop6.7
End-0.4
red by 1.2
9972
#21
3.11.3
1.32.6
Auto0.2
Teleop3.6
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed20%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsMissed