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Red19
99973.1
572418.8
99738.1
Blue27
99965.6
146627.1
99743.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23350501001502002501927

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+10
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
3Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +10
2Coral scored#4
6Coral points14
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#2
6Processor points0
0Net points8
6Algae points8
12Total teleop22
Reef
1L4#1
1L3#2
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#7
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
19Total score27

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5724
#13
18.81.3
21.019.7
Auto2.3
Teleop16.1
End0.3
blue by 8.3
1466
#14
27.10.4
28.127.7
Auto7.6
Teleop17.3
End1.9
Second
8.12.1
8.26.0
Auto0.6
Teleop7.2
End0.8
red by 2.5
9996
#16
5.60.6
3.22.6
Auto0.2
Teleop5.3
End0.4
Third
9997
#26
3.12.1
2.90.8
Auto0.1
Teleop2.6
End0.6
Level
9974
#25
3.10.6
-1.7-2.3
Auto0.6
Teleop2.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
6%Auto oddsMissed22%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed4%Barge oddsMissed