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Red21
999511.9
99973.1
99743.1
Blue60
1025716.6
580433.7
99751.7
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions-1187501001502160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+31
Endgame+33
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
3Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +28
4Coral scored#9
16Coral points32
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#3
0Processor points0
0Net points12
0Algae points12
16Total teleop44
Reef
2L4#4
1L3#2
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#2
4Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points6
21Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11.91.8
6.48.2
Auto2.0
Teleop9.3
End0.9
blue by 21.8
5804
#18
33.70.9
47.246.3
Auto5.3
Teleop21.8
End6.4
Second
9997
#26
3.11.8
0.82.6
Auto0.1
Teleop2.6
End0.6
blue by 13.5
16.60.9
16.315.4
Auto4.1
Teleop11.2
End1.1
Third
9974
#25
3.11.8
-2.3-0.5
Auto0.6
Teleop2.2
End0.6
red by 1.4
9975
#11
1.71.5
4.02.5
Auto0.5
Teleop2.2
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsMissed51%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
1%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
3%Barge oddsMissed56%Barge oddsMissed