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Red46
456133.4
99965.6
99768.6
Blue33
99946.5
99996.4
997711.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70310204060801001201401604633

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+13Teleop
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave3
1Coral scored#0
4Coral points0
7Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +9
8Coral scored#6
27Coral points22
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
35Total teleop26
Reef
4L4#3
2L3#1
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#7
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
46Total score33

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.40.4
35.935.6
Auto5.6
Teleop19.8
End7.6
red by 21.7
9977
#12
11.61.4
10.211.6
Auto2.3
Teleop9.4
End0.4
Second
8.60.6
12.912.3
Auto2.6
Teleop6.5
End0.2
red by 2.1
9994
#20
6.51.4
5.16.5
Auto-0.5
Teleop4.8
End2.4
Third
9996
#16
5.60.6
2.62.0
Auto0.2
Teleop5.3
End0.4
blue by 0.8
9999
#15
6.41.4
5.06.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop6.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsMissed33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed1%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed