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Red6
99996.4
393923.4
99780.4
Blue34
108626.7
40131.9
99700.4
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37117050100150200634

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+26
Endgame+28
Fouls+28
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave3
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
0Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +23
1Coral scored#5
4Coral points17
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
4Total teleop27
Reef
1L4#2
0L3#1
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
1Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points0
6Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3939
#22
23.45.0
23.428.4
Auto3.0
Teleop20.3
End-0.2
blue by 8.5
401
#3
31.94.6
47.643.0
Auto9.4
Teleop18.6
End3.6
Second
9999
#15
6.45.4
9.33.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop6.5
End0.2
blue by 20.3
1086
#17
26.74.6
45.440.9
Auto7.0
Teleop17.5
End2.0
Third
9978
#24
0.45.4
13.88.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop1.1
End0.2
red by 0.1
0.47.6
9.31.7
Auto-3.0
Teleop4.1
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsMissed52%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
4%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsMissed