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Red32
99946.5
1000411.0
99738.1
Blue23
99973.1
580433.7
99743.1
18%Model gave it82%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24730501001503223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+1
Endgame+3
+9Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points4
3Total auto10
TeleoperatedRed +6
3Coral scored#3
11Coral points9
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
15Total teleop9
Reef
1L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#4
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
12Foul points0
32Total score23

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11.00.3
7.57.2
Auto6.0
Teleop3.3
End1.5
blue by 22.8
5804
#18
33.73.3
57.754.4
Auto5.3
Teleop21.8
End6.4
Second
8.10.5
9.38.8
Auto0.6
Teleop7.2
End0.8
red by 5.0
9997
#26
3.15.5
9.33.8
Auto0.1
Teleop2.6
End0.6
Third
9994
#20
6.50.5
7.77.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop4.8
End2.4
red by 3.5
9974
#25
3.15.5
5.4-0.1
Auto0.6
Teleop2.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsMissed19%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed