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Red110
99965.6
126232.6
97743.3
Blue71
572418.8
99417.8
580433.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1107205015020025030011071

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
977
#4
43.33.3
46.643.3
Auto8.6
Teleop32.1
End2.5
red by 9.6
5804
#18
33.729.0
62.733.7
Auto5.3
Teleop21.8
End6.4
Second
32.60.9
33.632.6
Auto3.5
Teleop28.3
End0.7
red by 13.8
5724
#13
18.83.5
22.318.8
Auto2.3
Teleop16.1
End0.3
Third
9996
#16
5.68.2
13.85.6
Auto0.2
Teleop5.3
End0.4
blue by 12.2
994
Unranked
17.80.0
17.817.8
Auto3.5
Teleop12.3
End2.0