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Red57
1000411.0
146627.1
999511.9
Blue70
108626.7
1025716.6
325814.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63653040507080901005770

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1466
#14
27.17.2
34.327.1
Auto7.6
Teleop17.3
End1.9
red by 0.5
1086
#17
26.721.4
48.126.7
Auto7.0
Teleop17.5
End2.0
Second
11.92.2
14.111.9
Auto2.0
Teleop9.3
End0.9
blue by 4.7
16.63.3
19.916.6
Auto4.1
Teleop11.2
End1.1
Third
11.01.3
9.611.0
Auto6.0
Teleop3.3
End1.5
blue by 3.3
3258
#23
14.34.5
18.814.3
Auto2.4
Teleop10.9
End0.7