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Red104
108626.7
1025716.6
325814.3
Blue57
456133.4
40131.9
393923.4
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57103015020010457

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1086
#17
26.70.0
26.726.7
Auto7.0
Teleop17.5
End2.0
blue by 6.7
33.40.0
33.433.4
Auto5.6
Teleop19.8
End7.6
Second
16.60.0
16.616.6
Auto4.1
Teleop11.2
End1.1
blue by 15.3
401
#3
31.90.0
31.931.9
Auto9.4
Teleop18.6
End3.6
Third
3258
#23
14.30.0
14.314.3
Auto2.4
Teleop10.9
End0.7
blue by 9.1
3939
#22
23.40.0
23.423.4
Auto3.0
Teleop20.3
End-0.2