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Red165
173165.2
1000411.0
210659.9
Blue144
42258.8
108626.7
97743.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14413280100120160180200165144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+21Teleop
+9Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
0Leave0
13Coral scored#7
65Coral points37
65Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +7
19Coral scored#19
70Coral points69
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
84Total teleop91
Reef
13L4#8
8L3#6
5L2#8
6L1 · trough#4
35Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +21
12Foul points0
165Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.20.4
64.865.2
Auto14.9
Teleop41.3
End9.1
red by 6.4
422
#6
58.80.4
58.558.8
Auto16.9
Teleop34.4
End7.6
Second
59.90.4
59.559.9
Auto19.0
Teleop33.3
End7.6
red by 16.6
977
#2
43.30.4
42.943.3
Auto8.6
Teleop32.1
End2.5
Third
11.00.4
10.611.0
Auto6.0
Teleop3.3
End1.5
blue by 15.7
1086
#28
26.70.4
26.326.7
Auto7.0
Teleop17.5
End2.0