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Red163
173165.2
1000411.0
210659.9
Blue148
42258.8
108626.7
97743.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14213180100120160180200163148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+3Teleop
+13Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave6
10Coral scored#8
49Coral points38
58Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +11
14Coral scored#16
51Coral points56
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
6Processor points12
20Net points20
26Algae points32
77Total teleop88
Reef
9L4#11
5L3#5
5L2#6
5L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#31
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +15
2Foul points0
163Total score148

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.20.6
64.264.8
Auto14.9
Teleop41.3
End9.1
red by 6.4
422
#6
58.80.5
58.058.5
Auto16.9
Teleop34.4
End7.6
Second
59.90.6
58.959.5
Auto19.0
Teleop33.3
End7.6
red by 16.6
977
#2
43.30.5
42.542.9
Auto8.6
Teleop32.1
End2.5
Third
11.00.6
10.010.6
Auto6.0
Teleop3.3
End1.5
blue by 15.7
1086
#28
26.70.5
25.826.3
Auto7.0
Teleop17.5
End2.0