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Red120
62057.4
335919.3
313634.2
Blue178
42258.8
108626.7
97743.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1141320200300400500600700120178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+54
Endgame+64
Fouls+58
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
8Coral scored#7
38Coral points35
44Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +54
14Coral scored#22
50Coral points80
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#5
6Processor points18
8Net points20
14Algae points38
64Total teleop118
Reef
10L4#7
6L3#10
3L2#7
3L1 · trough#5
25Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +58
6Foul points0
120Total score178

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
620
#4
57.40.1
57.457.4
Auto15.2
Teleop39.6
End2.6
blue by 1.4
422
#6
58.81.2
56.758.0
Auto16.9
Teleop34.4
End7.6
Second
34.20.1
34.134.2
Auto12.9
Teleop14.3
End7.1
blue by 9.1
977
#2
43.31.2
41.242.5
Auto8.6
Teleop32.1
End2.5
Third
3359
#23
19.30.1
19.219.3
Auto2.6
Teleop13.6
End3.0
blue by 7.4
1086
#28
26.71.2
24.625.8
Auto7.0
Teleop17.5
End2.0