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Red170
42258.8
108626.7
97743.3
Blue81
12237.6
1022432.0
40424.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14711205020025030035017081

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+97Teleop
+87Endgame
+89Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave3
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points6
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +83
25Coral scored#11
91Coral points38
4Processor algae#1
6Net algae#3
24Processor points6
24Net points12
48Algae points18
139Total teleop56
Reef
12L4#3
9L3#3
3L2#3
6L1 · trough#3
40Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +89
2Foul points0
170Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#6
58.81.1
55.756.7
Auto16.9
Teleop34.4
End7.6
red by 21.2
122
#10
37.60.3
37.937.6
Auto6.2
Teleop22.2
End9.3
Second
977
#2
43.31.1
40.141.2
Auto8.6
Teleop32.1
End2.5
red by 11.3
32.00.3
32.332.0
Auto3.9
Teleop23.2
End4.9
Third
1086
#28
26.71.1
23.524.6
Auto7.0
Teleop17.5
End2.0
red by 2.3
404
#9
24.30.3
24.624.3
Auto3.4
Teleop21.3
End-0.4