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Red176
173165.2
1000411.0
210659.9
Blue121
62057.4
335919.3
313634.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14411350100200176121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+43Teleop
+53Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave6
6Coral scored#8
28Coral points38
37Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +50
21Coral scored#10
75Coral points35
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#5
12Processor points6
24Net points20
36Algae points26
111Total teleop61
Reef
9L4#7
10L3#5
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
35Game pieces#24
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +55
2Foul points0
176Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.21.0
63.264.2
Auto14.9
Teleop41.3
End9.1
red by 7.8
620
#4
57.40.2
57.157.4
Auto15.2
Teleop39.6
End2.6
Second
59.91.0
57.958.9
Auto19.0
Teleop33.3
End7.6
red by 25.7
34.20.2
33.934.1
Auto12.9
Teleop14.3
End7.1
Third
11.01.0
9.010.0
Auto6.0
Teleop3.3
End1.5
blue by 8.3
3359
#23
19.30.2
19.019.2
Auto2.6
Teleop13.6
End3.0