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Red148
42258.8
108626.7
97743.3
Blue49
237717.9
236331.6
141826.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1347205010015020025014849

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+93Teleop
+93Endgame
+99Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave3
7Coral scored#3
37Coral points13
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +72
19Coral scored#5
69Coral points19
3Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
18Processor points0
12Net points8
30Algae points8
99Total teleop27
Reef
11L4#3
8L3#3
3L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
32Game pieces#10
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +99
6Foul points0
148Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#6
58.80.5
55.155.7
Auto16.9
Teleop34.4
End7.6
red by 27.2
2363
#26
31.60.6
32.231.6
Auto5.0
Teleop19.4
End7.2
Second
977
#2
43.30.5
39.640.1
Auto8.6
Teleop32.1
End2.5
red by 17.3
1418
#21
26.00.6
26.726.0
Auto8.9
Teleop11.2
End6.0
Third
1086
#28
26.70.5
23.023.5
Auto7.0
Teleop17.5
End2.0
red by 8.8
2377
#13
17.90.6
18.517.9
Auto4.4
Teleop11.4
End2.1