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Red121
202820.8
210659.9
173165.2
Blue99
42258.8
873842.4
3397.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1641575010020025012199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+14Teleop
+22Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave0
5Coral scored#5
27Coral points26
33Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +7
14Coral scored#14
52Coral points49
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
74Total teleop67
Reef
7L4#7
5L3#5
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#23
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points0
121Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.22.1
62.660.5
Auto14.9
Teleop41.3
End9.1
red by 6.4
422
#6
58.82.8
65.162.3
Auto16.9
Teleop34.4
End7.6
Second
59.92.1
61.959.8
Auto19.0
Teleop33.3
End7.6
red by 17.5
42.42.8
57.354.5
Auto11.3
Teleop29.1
End2.1
Third
2028
#29
20.82.1
28.326.2
Auto4.1
Teleop16.2
End0.5
red by 13.2
339
#25
7.62.8
18.615.8
Auto4.5
Teleop2.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
34%Coral oddsEarned48%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned50%Barge oddsMissed