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Red80
1022432.0
335919.3
54045.7
Blue38
108626.7
6238.5
264223.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions141870502002503003508038

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+40Teleop
+42Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +37
13Coral scored#6
47Coral points20
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
65Total teleop28
Reef
4L4#3
5L3#2
4L2#2
1L1 · trough#0
18Game pieces#9
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
0Foul points0
80Total score38

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
540
#5
45.72.6
43.240.6
Auto10.8
Teleop34.2
End0.8
red by 19.1
1086
#28
26.72.9
34.831.9
Auto7.0
Teleop17.5
End2.0
Second
32.02.6
42.740.1
Auto3.9
Teleop23.2
End4.9
red by 8.5
2642
#20
23.52.9
31.728.7
Auto4.0
Teleop17.9
End1.6
Third
3359
#23
19.32.6
30.628.0
Auto2.6
Teleop13.6
End3.0
red by 10.8
623
#27
8.52.9
13.110.1
Auto3.8
Teleop3.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsMissed81%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
35%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed