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Red26
236331.6
159917.3
12237.6
Blue109
580433.7
237717.9
219934.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13010305015020025030035026109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+27
Teleop+91
Endgame+83
Fouls+83
AutonomousBlue +27
3Leave3
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points27
3Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +64
3Coral scored#15
9Coral points55
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#3
0Processor points6
0Net points12
0Algae points18
9Total teleop73
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#6
1L2#5
0L1 · trough#4
3Game pieces#24
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +83
0Foul points0
26Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
122
#10
37.66.3
46.640.4
Auto6.2
Teleop22.2
End9.3
red by 3.4
2199
#14
34.20.7
37.338.0
Auto8.6
Teleop19.3
End6.3
Second
2363
#26
31.66.3
50.043.7
Auto5.0
Teleop19.4
End7.2
blue by 2.1
5804
#16
33.70.7
44.144.8
Auto5.3
Teleop21.8
End6.4
Third
1599
#17
17.36.3
23.517.2
Auto2.1
Teleop9.1
End6.1
blue by 0.6
2377
#13
17.90.7
16.917.6
Auto4.4
Teleop11.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsMissed77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned90%Barge oddsMissed