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Red108
40131.9
61923.7
289024.1
Blue58
572418.8
53923.9
1000411.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11062015020025010858

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+48Teleop
+50Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave6
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points9
19Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +44
18Coral scored#8
63Coral points27
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
85Total teleop41
Reef
8L4#5
5L3#3
5L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#13
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +50
0Foul points0
108Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
401
#12
31.90.9
42.943.8
Auto9.4
Teleop18.6
End3.6
red by 8.0
539
#30
23.90.5
37.236.7
Auto4.3
Teleop18.4
End1.2
Second
2890
#18
24.10.9
20.821.7
Auto4.1
Teleop18.3
End1.7
red by 5.3
5724
#11
18.80.5
18.317.9
Auto2.3
Teleop16.1
End0.3
Third
619
#15
23.70.9
28.229.1
Auto5.4
Teleop15.7
End2.7
red by 12.7
11.00.5
6.35.9
Auto6.0
Teleop3.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed45%Barge oddsMissed