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Red101
572418.8
97743.3
237717.9
Blue30
43511.4
3397.6
108626.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80570204010012010130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+67Teleop
+67Endgame
+71Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave9
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points4
19Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +61
16Coral scored#3
56Coral points9
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
70Total teleop9
Reef
8L4#1
5L3#1
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#4
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +71
6Foul points2
101Total score30

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
977
#2
43.31.3
39.540.8
Auto8.6
Teleop32.1
End2.5
red by 16.6
1086
#28
26.71.9
31.529.6
Auto7.0
Teleop17.5
End2.0
Second
5724
#11
18.81.3
17.919.2
Auto2.3
Teleop16.1
End0.3
red by 7.4
435
#24
11.41.9
14.212.2
Auto1.9
Teleop8.2
End1.3
Third
2377
#13
17.91.3
18.319.6
Auto4.4
Teleop11.4
End2.1
red by 10.3
339
#25
7.61.9
11.19.2
Auto4.5
Teleop2.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsEarned12%Barge oddsMissed