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Red118
42258.8
313634.2
54045.7
Blue61
53923.9
236331.6
335919.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16910505015020025011861

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+22Auto
+55Teleop
+55Endgame
+57Fouls
AutonomousRed +22
6Leave3
6Coral scored#2
31Coral points12
37Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +33
10Coral scored#5
35Coral points18
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
12Processor points0
8Net points4
20Algae points4
55Total teleop22
Reef
5L4#2
3L3#2
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#8
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +57
12Foul points10
118Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#6
58.82.4
62.760.4
Auto16.9
Teleop34.4
End7.6
red by 27.2
2363
#26
31.63.0
39.036.0
Auto5.0
Teleop19.4
End7.2
Second
540
#5
45.72.4
40.738.3
Auto10.8
Teleop34.2
End0.8
red by 21.8
539
#30
23.93.0
31.628.6
Auto4.3
Teleop18.4
End1.2
Third
34.22.4
38.135.7
Auto12.9
Teleop14.3
End7.1
red by 14.9
3359
#23
19.33.0
25.522.4
Auto2.6
Teleop13.6
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
44%Coral oddsEarned33%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned74%Barge oddsEarned