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Red78
202820.8
40131.9
580433.7
Blue79
219934.2
141826.0
1022432.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1191060501502007879

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+21Teleop
+1Endgame
Fouls+1
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points16
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +21
10Coral scored#7
36Coral points25
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
56Total teleop35
Reef
5L4#3
3L3#2
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points2
78Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5804
#16
33.72.0
43.841.7
Auto5.3
Teleop21.8
End6.4
blue by 0.4
2199
#14
34.21.9
35.433.4
Auto8.6
Teleop19.3
End6.3
Second
401
#12
31.92.0
41.239.2
Auto9.4
Teleop18.6
End3.6
blue by 0.1
32.01.9
35.433.4
Auto3.9
Teleop23.2
End4.9
Third
2028
#29
20.82.0
23.721.6
Auto4.1
Teleop16.2
End0.5
blue by 5.3
1418
#21
26.01.9
35.233.2
Auto8.9
Teleop11.2
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
38%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsMissed93%Barge oddsEarned