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Red98
61923.7
6238.5
62057.4
Blue49
159917.3
43511.4
289024.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1074101502002509849

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+61Teleop
+49Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave3
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points9
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +50
14Coral scored#4
51Coral points13
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
6Processor points6
12Net points0
18Algae points6
69Total teleop19
Reef
5L4#2
5L3#2
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +49
2Foul points2
98Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
620
#4
57.40.3
59.359.7
Auto15.2
Teleop39.6
End2.6
red by 33.4
2890
#18
24.10.1
19.219.1
Auto4.1
Teleop18.3
End1.7
Second
619
#15
23.70.3
24.024.4
Auto5.4
Teleop15.7
End2.7
red by 6.4
1599
#17
17.30.1
17.317.2
Auto2.1
Teleop9.1
End6.1
Third
623
#27
8.50.3
7.68.0
Auto3.8
Teleop3.6
End1.1
blue by 2.9
435
#24
11.40.1
12.212.1
Auto1.9
Teleop8.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed1%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed45%Barge oddsEarned