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Red150
210659.9
12237.6
873842.4
Blue94
264223.5
1000411.0
40424.3
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19259010015025030035015094

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+34Teleop
+56Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
6Leave6
4Coral scored#1
21Coral points6
27Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +19
19Coral scored#12
69Coral points42
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#6
12Processor points12
16Net points24
28Algae points36
97Total teleop78
Reef
6L4#4
6L3#3
6L2#3
5L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#21
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
0Foul points0
150Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.91.4
59.458.0
Auto19.0
Teleop33.3
End7.6
red by 35.6
404
#9
24.30.7
23.023.7
Auto3.4
Teleop21.3
End-0.4
Second
42.41.4
49.448.0
Auto11.3
Teleop29.1
End2.1
red by 18.9
2642
#20
23.50.7
26.226.9
Auto4.0
Teleop17.9
End1.6
Third
122
#10
37.61.4
37.836.4
Auto6.2
Teleop22.2
End9.3
red by 26.6
11.00.7
5.56.2
Auto6.0
Teleop3.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsMissed67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
49%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned7%Barge oddsMissed