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Red57
108626.7
219934.2
572418.8
Blue123
152222.6
173165.2
42258.8
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7117305010015020025030035057123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+54
Endgame+74
Fouls+66
AutonomousBlue +17
9Leave0
1Coral scored#6
4Coral points30
13Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +37
4Coral scored#15
16Coral points53
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
30Total teleop67
Reef
1L4#9
2L3#6
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
8Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +66
8Foul points0
57Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2199
#14
34.22.2
33.431.2
Auto8.6
Teleop19.3
End6.3
blue by 31.0
65.21.7
61.259.5
Auto14.9
Teleop41.3
End9.1
Second
1086
#28
26.72.2
29.627.4
Auto7.0
Teleop17.5
End2.0
blue by 32.1
422
#6
58.81.7
60.458.7
Auto16.9
Teleop34.4
End7.6
Third
5724
#11
18.82.2
19.216.9
Auto2.3
Teleop16.1
End0.3
blue by 3.8
1522
#22
22.61.7
27.225.5
Auto4.3
Teleop17.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsMissed89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed54%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
76%Barge oddsMissed80%Barge oddsEarned