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Red75
313634.2
3397.6
62057.4
Blue65
1022432.0
580433.7
6238.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116920501502007565

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+12Teleop
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave6
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points3
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +9
6Coral scored#6
23Coral points20
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#3
6Processor points6
0Net points12
6Algae points18
29Total teleop38
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#1
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
2Foul points2
75Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
620
#4
57.42.1
59.757.6
Auto15.2
Teleop39.6
End2.6
red by 23.7
5804
#16
33.71.3
41.740.4
Auto5.3
Teleop21.8
End6.4
Second
34.22.1
35.733.6
Auto12.9
Teleop14.3
End7.1
red by 2.2
32.01.3
33.432.1
Auto3.9
Teleop23.2
End4.9
Third
339
#25
7.62.1
9.27.1
Auto4.5
Teleop2.3
End0.8
blue by 0.9
623
#27
8.51.3
8.06.6
Auto3.8
Teleop3.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsEarned