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Red38
40131.9
335919.3
43511.4
Blue100
40424.3
210659.9
61923.7
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9214005015020038100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+38
Endgame+50
Fouls+62
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave3
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points20
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +24
5Coral scored#8
19Coral points27
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
0Processor points12
8Net points12
8Algae points24
27Total teleop51
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#4
2L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +62
0Foul points12
38Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
401
#12
31.92.7
39.236.4
Auto9.4
Teleop18.6
End3.6
blue by 28.0
59.91.6
58.056.4
Auto19.0
Teleop33.3
End7.6
Second
3359
#23
19.32.7
22.419.7
Auto2.6
Teleop13.6
End3.0
blue by 5.1
404
#9
24.31.6
23.722.1
Auto3.4
Teleop21.3
End-0.4
Third
435
#24
11.42.7
12.19.4
Auto1.9
Teleop8.2
End1.3
blue by 12.3
619
#15
23.71.6
24.422.7
Auto5.4
Teleop15.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsMissed79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsEarned