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Red59
236331.6
152222.6
264223.5
Blue51
159917.3
1000411.0
202820.8
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109370501502002505951

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+20Teleop
+10Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
13Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +13
8Coral scored#6
30Coral points21
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
0Processor points0
12Net points8
12Algae points8
42Total teleop29
Reef
3L4#2
3L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points2
59Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2363
#26
31.62.0
36.034.0
Auto5.0
Teleop19.4
End7.2
red by 10.8
2028
#29
20.80.3
21.621.9
Auto4.1
Teleop16.2
End0.5
Second
2642
#20
23.52.0
26.924.9
Auto4.0
Teleop17.9
End1.6
red by 6.2
1599
#17
17.30.3
17.217.4
Auto2.1
Teleop9.1
End6.1
Third
1522
#22
22.62.0
25.523.5
Auto4.3
Teleop17.7
End0.6
red by 11.6
11.00.3
6.26.4
Auto6.0
Teleop3.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsEarned