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Qual 202025 Rumble #10
Red135
54045.7
289024.1
12237.6
Blue161
173165.2
97743.3
873842.4
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95167050150200250300135161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+26
Endgame+26
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +18
3Leave0
3Coral scored#7
16Coral points37
19Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +8
16Coral scored#22
58Coral points78
2Processor algae#2
8Net algae#5
12Processor points12
32Net points20
44Algae points32
102Total teleop110
Reef
7L4#10
5L3#8
4L2#8
3L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#36
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points0
135Total score161

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
540
#5
45.72.6
38.3→40.9
Auto10.8
Teleop34.2
End0.8
blue by 19.5
1731
#1
65.20.6
59.5→60.1
Auto14.9
Teleop41.3
End9.1
Second
122
#10
37.62.6
36.4→39.0
Auto6.2
Teleop22.2
End9.3
blue by 5.7
977
#2
43.30.6
40.8→41.4
Auto8.6
Teleop32.1
End2.5
Third
2890
#18
24.12.6
19.1→21.7
Auto4.1
Teleop18.3
End1.7
blue by 18.3
8738
#8
42.40.6
48.0→48.7
Auto11.3
Teleop29.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsEarned44%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned85%Barge oddsEarned