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Red71
264223.5
42258.8
580433.7
Blue51
43511.4
61923.7
152222.6
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1554401002002503007151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+8Teleop
+20Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +1
9Coral scored#8
31Coral points30
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
41Total teleop40
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#11
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points0
71Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#6
58.83.5
58.755.1
Auto16.9
Teleop34.4
End7.6
red by 35.1
619
#15
23.70.3
22.722.4
Auto5.4
Teleop15.7
End2.7
Second
5804
#16
33.73.5
40.436.8
Auto5.3
Teleop21.8
End6.4
red by 11.2
1522
#22
22.60.3
23.523.2
Auto4.3
Teleop17.7
End0.6
Third
2642
#20
23.53.5
24.921.4
Auto4.0
Teleop17.9
End1.6
red by 12.1
435
#24
11.40.3
9.49.1
Auto1.9
Teleop8.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
32%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
71%Barge oddsEarned12%Barge oddsMissed