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Red130
173165.2
1022432.0
40424.3
Blue127
289024.1
236331.6
97743.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14411950100200130127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+5
Endgame+1
+3Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave3
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +2
23Coral scored#24
83Coral points85
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
12Processor points12
16Net points12
28Algae points24
111Total teleop109
Reef
9L4#12
5L3#5
5L2#6
5L1 · trough#4
30Game pieces#32
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
4Foul points0
130Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.20.5
60.159.6
Auto14.9
Teleop41.3
End9.1
red by 21.9
977
#2
43.30.7
41.442.1
Auto8.6
Teleop32.1
End2.5
Second
32.00.5
32.131.5
Auto3.9
Teleop23.2
End4.9
red by 0.4
2363
#26
31.60.7
34.034.7
Auto5.0
Teleop19.4
End7.2
Third
404
#9
24.30.5
22.121.5
Auto3.4
Teleop21.3
End-0.4
red by 0.3
2890
#18
24.10.7
21.722.4
Auto4.1
Teleop18.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsMissed79%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
19%Coral oddsEarned12%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
65%Barge oddsMissed79%Barge oddsMissed