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Red95
219934.2
54045.7
1000411.0
Blue116
62057.4
43511.4
572418.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88845060708010011012095116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
Teleop+25
Endgame+23
Fouls+21
AutonomousRed +18
9Leave3
4Coral scored#2
21Coral points9
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +43
13Coral scored#23
45Coral points82
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
59Total teleop102
Reef
5L4#8
6L3#9
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#5
20Game pieces#29
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
2Foul points0
95Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
540
#5
45.71.0
40.941.8
Auto10.8
Teleop34.2
End0.8
blue by 11.7
620
#4
57.42.3
57.659.8
Auto15.2
Teleop39.6
End2.6
Second
2199
#14
34.21.0
31.232.2
Auto8.6
Teleop19.3
End6.3
red by 15.4
5724
#11
18.82.3
15.217.5
Auto2.3
Teleop16.1
End0.3
Third
11.01.0
6.47.4
Auto6.0
Teleop3.3
End1.5
blue by 0.4
435
#24
11.42.3
9.111.4
Auto1.9
Teleop8.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed