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Red37
53923.9
580433.7
141826.0
Blue251
289024.1
264223.5
173165.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1041175015020025037251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+80
Endgame+92
Fouls+214
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave9
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points14
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +66
6Coral scored#18
20Coral points64
1Processor algae#2
0Net algae#4
6Processor points12
0Net points16
6Algae points28
26Total teleop92
Reef
3L4#6
2L3#8
1L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
9Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +214
0Foul points122
37Total score251

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5804
#16
33.73.8
36.833.0
Auto5.3
Teleop21.8
End6.4
blue by 31.5
65.21.7
59.661.3
Auto14.9
Teleop41.3
End9.1
Second
1418
#21
26.03.8
29.725.9
Auto8.9
Teleop11.2
End6.0
red by 1.9
2890
#18
24.11.7
22.424.1
Auto4.1
Teleop18.3
End1.7
Third
539
#30
23.93.8
27.723.9
Auto4.3
Teleop18.4
End1.2
red by 0.4
2642
#20
23.51.7
21.423.1
Auto4.0
Teleop17.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsMissed87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsEarned