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Red92
873842.4
62057.4
236331.6
Blue97
97743.3
108626.7
40131.9
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions158980502002509297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+1Teleop
+13Endgame
Fouls+5
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave6
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points13
23Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +3
10Coral scored#12
35Coral points44
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
6Processor points0
12Net points12
18Algae points12
53Total teleop56
Reef
6L4#7
2L3#3
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#18
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points18
92Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
620
#4
57.43.3
59.856.6
Auto15.2
Teleop39.6
End2.6
red by 14.1
977
#2
43.31.5
42.140.6
Auto8.6
Teleop32.1
End2.5
Second
42.43.3
46.643.3
Auto11.3
Teleop29.1
End2.1
red by 10.5
401
#12
31.91.5
34.332.8
Auto9.4
Teleop18.6
End3.6
Third
2363
#26
31.63.3
34.731.4
Auto5.0
Teleop19.4
End7.2
red by 4.9
1086
#28
26.71.5
25.524.0
Auto7.0
Teleop17.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
48%Coral oddsMissed23%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsEarned50%Barge oddsMissed