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Red105
335919.3
572418.8
42258.8
Blue73
1000411.0
12237.6
1022432.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1088105015020025030035010573

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+44Teleop
+34Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave9
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points7
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +41
14Coral scored#6
50Coral points21
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
12Processor points0
8Net points8
20Algae points8
70Total teleop29
Reef
7L4#3
3L3#2
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
0Foul points2
105Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#6
58.81.0
55.156.1
Auto16.9
Teleop34.4
End7.6
red by 21.2
122
#10
37.60.3
37.136.8
Auto6.2
Teleop22.2
End9.3
Second
3359
#23
19.31.0
17.418.4
Auto2.6
Teleop13.6
End3.0
blue by 12.7
32.00.3
31.531.2
Auto3.9
Teleop23.2
End4.9
Third
5724
#11
18.81.0
17.518.5
Auto2.3
Teleop16.1
End0.3
red by 7.8
11.00.3
7.47.1
Auto6.0
Teleop3.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
37%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsEarned74%Barge oddsEarned