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Qual 312025 Rumble #10
Red85
152222.6
159917.3
219934.2
Blue122
210659.9
54045.7
3397.6
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6512105010015020085122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+63
Endgame+61
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +28
6Leave6
2Coral scored#8
10Coral points38
16Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +35
6Coral scored#13
21Coral points46
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
0Processor points6
8Net points12
8Algae points18
29Total teleop64
Reef
3L4#8
2L3#6
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#4
10Game pieces#25
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
24Foul points0
85Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2199
#14
34.20.7
32.2→31.5
Auto8.6
Teleop19.3
End6.3
blue by 25.7
2106
#3
59.91.3
54.7→56.0
Auto19.0
Teleop33.3
End7.6
Second
1522
#22
22.60.7
23.2→22.6
Auto4.3
Teleop17.7
End0.6
blue by 23.2
540
#5
45.71.3
41.8→43.1
Auto10.8
Teleop34.2
End0.8
Third
1599
#17
17.30.7
15.3→14.7
Auto2.1
Teleop9.1
End6.1
red by 9.7
339
#25
7.61.3
6.3→7.6
Auto4.5
Teleop2.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsEarned