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Red92
1000411.0
108626.7
210659.9
Blue115
580433.7
313634.2
97743.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10013705015020025092115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
Teleop+7
Endgame+17
Fouls+23
AutonomousRed +8
6Leave6
6Coral scored#4
28Coral points20
34Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +15
11Coral scored#16
40Coral points57
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
6Processor points0
8Net points12
14Algae points12
54Total teleop69
Reef
7L4#5
5L3#8
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
20Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points6
92Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.90.4
59.859.4
Auto19.0
Teleop33.3
End7.6
red by 16.6
977
#2
43.31.0
40.539.5
Auto8.6
Teleop32.1
End2.5
Second
1086
#28
26.70.4
31.931.5
Auto7.0
Teleop17.5
End2.0
blue by 7.5
34.21.0
39.138.1
Auto12.9
Teleop14.3
End7.1
Third
11.00.4
5.95.5
Auto6.0
Teleop3.3
End1.5
blue by 22.8
5804
#16
33.71.0
44.843.8
Auto5.3
Teleop21.8
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsMissed82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsMissed89%Barge oddsEarned