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Red153
62057.4
335919.3
313634.2
Blue99
12237.6
1022432.0
40424.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136114020030040050015399

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+32Auto
+52Teleop
+54Endgame
+54Fouls
AutonomousRed +32
6Leave9
8Coral scored#1
38Coral points3
44Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +20
18Coral scored#16
63Coral points59
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
18Processor points6
12Net points8
30Algae points14
93Total teleop73
Reef
9L4#8
8L3#3
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#20
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +54
0Foul points0
153Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
620
#4
57.40.9
56.657.4
Auto15.2
Teleop39.6
End2.6
red by 19.9
122
#10
37.60.0
36.836.8
Auto6.2
Teleop22.2
End9.3
Second
34.20.9
33.334.2
Auto12.9
Teleop14.3
End7.1
red by 2.2
32.00.0
31.231.2
Auto3.9
Teleop23.2
End4.9
Third
3359
#23
19.30.9
18.419.3
Auto2.6
Teleop13.6
End3.0
blue by 5.1
404
#9
24.30.0
23.523.6
Auto3.4
Teleop21.3
End-0.4