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Red111
237717.9
236331.6
141826.0
Blue78
873842.4
202820.8
40131.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7510805015020025030011178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+5
+27Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave3
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points16
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +2
9Coral scored#13
33Coral points45
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
53Total teleop55
Reef
5L4#7
3L3#5
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#18
BargeRed +32
36Cage & park4
36Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +33
6Foul points0
111Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2363
#26
31.60.7
31.632.2
Auto5.0
Teleop19.4
End7.2
blue by 10.8
42.40.4
42.842.4
Auto11.3
Teleop29.1
End2.1
Second
1418
#21
26.00.7
26.026.7
Auto8.9
Teleop11.2
End6.0
blue by 5.9
401
#12
31.90.4
32.331.9
Auto9.4
Teleop18.6
End3.6
Third
2377
#13
17.90.7
17.918.5
Auto4.4
Teleop11.4
End2.1
blue by 2.9
2028
#29
20.80.4
21.220.8
Auto4.1
Teleop16.2
End0.5