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Red107
264223.5
61923.7
580433.7
Blue113
12237.6
1022432.0
40424.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102117050150200107113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+8
Endgame+6
Fouls+6
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave9
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points3
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +12
14Coral scored#16
51Coral points57
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#3
12Processor points18
12Net points12
24Algae points30
75Total teleop87
Reef
6L4#8
6L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#23
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points0
107Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5804
#16
33.70.4
33.333.7
Auto5.3
Teleop21.8
End6.4
blue by 3.9
122
#10
37.60.2
36.837.0
Auto6.2
Teleop22.2
End9.3
Second
619
#15
23.70.4
23.323.7
Auto5.4
Teleop15.7
End2.7
blue by 8.3
32.00.2
31.231.5
Auto3.9
Teleop23.2
End4.9
Third
2642
#20
23.50.4
23.123.5
Auto4.0
Teleop17.9
End1.6
blue by 0.8
404
#9
24.30.2
23.623.8
Auto3.4
Teleop21.3
End-0.4