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Red163
173165.2
1000411.0
210659.9
Blue84
219934.2
159917.3
54045.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1439205020025016384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+67Teleop
+79Endgame
+79Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
9Leave0
10Coral scored#5
49Coral points23
58Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +32
17Coral scored#12
61Coral points43
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
89Total teleop57
Reef
6L4#5
9L3#6
6L2#4
6L1 · trough#2
33Game pieces#20
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +79
0Foul points0
163Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.20.8
62.463.2
Auto14.9
Teleop41.3
End9.1
red by 19.5
540
#5
45.70.2
45.044.7
Auto10.8
Teleop34.2
End0.8
Second
59.90.8
57.157.9
Auto19.0
Teleop33.3
End7.6
red by 25.7
2199
#14
34.20.2
33.433.1
Auto8.6
Teleop19.3
End6.3
Third
11.00.8
8.29.0
Auto6.0
Teleop3.3
End1.5
blue by 6.3
1599
#17
17.30.2
16.516.3
Auto2.1
Teleop9.1
End6.1