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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7858020401001201401654

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+28
Endgame+32
Fouls+38
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +28
3Coral scored#8
10Coral points28
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
10Total teleop38
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
0Foul points6
16Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1599
#14
21.65.6
29.724.1
Auto4.0
Teleop11.7
End5.9
blue by 2.4
24.00.4
14.614.1
Auto3.6
Teleop18.7
End1.7
Second
339
#22
19.05.6
22.817.2
Auto5.1
Teleop14.4
End-0.5
blue by 2.2
6326
#31
21.10.4
22.822.4
Auto3.9
Teleop13.9
End3.4
Third
3361
#25
5.95.6
13.98.3
Auto0.7
Teleop4.4
End0.8
blue by 6.7
4505
#30
12.50.4
14.514.1
Auto2.9
Teleop8.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsMissed27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed